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"Hazy Shade of Winter"
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Good Sunday everyone. Dropping in for a little update for you for both the short term and the upcoming holiday week and what will be a transition into winter! Let's start with the NOW as we have a couple of showers moving in across southern Kentucky. Here is what they look like on radar...The threat for a few showers will increase across much of the sta […]
Jrod,From my experience, they're about both half and half, but the NAM has better initialization and run-to-run consistency with a track. However, it can completely underdo or overdo precip amounts. The GFS has a problem with the overall track, and flips and flops like a dying fish on a beach with 37 hooks in its gills.I usually take the nam with precip […]
00z run for the first of december are terrible... the low plays ping pong in the south with 2 lows on top of ky and ohio... i do not trust it at all... the NAM for thanksgiving looks like cold and flurries/lgt snow, def northern ky... GFS/ NAM who will win?
In response to the two previous posts...I guess that would all depend on where you are. :)Don't worry, though, guys....we'll get a satisfier soon enough. Given the south and eastward propagation of the jet streams in the winter months, if this pattern continues...we're in store for some decent snow....no doubt about it.
That's a good question Michael. We have a heck of a troough digging in out in the west, ample moisture in the south... does it all come together for fun and games?
NOBODY SAID NEXT WEEK STORM WAS GOING TO BE A GROCERY STORE RUNNER, BABY STEPS people! several inches possible and that a HUGE DEAL seeing how the past WINTERS have gone. especially this early. 3-6 inche snow this early in parts of KY would be HUGE as far as what we have had for years and years. who u got in DWTS, I say DONNIE O wins...
Not really...looks much more like the 12Z Euro. Here is another trick to remember. If the 18Z GFS looks similar to the 12Z Euro...then the Euro solution is probably correct. Again, with no blocking to the NE of the U.S, there is nothing to keep the cold in here. The teleconnections across the globe are just not there...yet. Perhaps in January maybe?
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